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Top Stock Picks Portfolio Comments

2018-10-07: We were stopped out of **** at ****. All out once again this year.
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Stock Picks Q&A   View Select Entries from Our Mailbag. Also See Our Q&A Page.

Q: Dear GSA, I'm wondering about the timing of top stock picks. I'm assuming that you select the "top stock picks" because the particular characteristics that you're looking for (earnings, volume spikes, etc, etc) are all correct at the point in time that you select them. But I'm wondering about top stock picks of a few months ago. Would you still consider them as "top stock picks". In looking at many of them, I see that there are certain characteristics that you now rate as "bad" as in passing through the stop limit price or being overvalued, etc. I guess the question is that if the particular characteristics of a past top stock pick once again lead you to believe it's a top pick, would you issue it again as a top pick, or put another way...when does it stop being a top pick?

A: We don't think there's an easy answer to this but we'll try. You are correct about the timing of our Top Stock Picks - we give more weight to the breakout volume, how far the stock is above its 200 day MA, and so a Top Stock Pick will have a higher rank when the timing is "just right". Two scenarios could then play out:

  1. The stock pick doesn't act right, breaks our stop levels, loses relative strength, is 10-12% lower than the price we paid, etc. We would probably see a fall-off in its GSA Rank, and wouldn't want to consider it again.
  2. The stock pick moves up a few points, hopefully makes a new high, and then backs down. If the GSA Rank holds up, and the stock moves down to say a point or so above what we paid, it would still be a strong Top Stock Pick for purchase.
So to answer your question, we normally do not issue a stock again as a Top Stock Pick in the short term. It stops being a Pick if the factors in 1. above have happened. If several months have passed, it's a whole new story, and a stock could repeat itself as a Top Stock Pick. In summary, it is best not to buy a previous pick just because the price may be lower than the price when the pick was posted, i.e., try not to average down. Within limits (5-10%), average up into a position. This way you will force feed your money into stocks moving in the right direction.

Hope that helps.

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Disclaimer The stock selections in our stock investing and stock trading database are not stock recommendations, but simply represent applications of a stock investing process. All materials, including our Top Stock Picks, are provided for information purposes only and should not be used or construed as an offer to sell, a solicitation of an offer to buy, or a recommendation for any security. Growth Stock Analytics, LLC is not responsible for gains/losses that may result in investing or trading in these securities. All information is believed to be obtained from reliable sources, but there is no guarantee that the information supplied is accurate, complete or timely. There is no guarantee or warranty with regard to the results obtained from its use. There is no guarantee of suitability or potential value of any particular investment or information source. You acknowledge that your requests for this information are unsolicited and shall neither constitute nor be considered investment advice. Past investing performance is not an indication of future performance results. Investing and trading in stocks is risky. Investors are encouraged to consult a registered stock broker or investment adviser before making any investing decisions. The interpretations and opinions expressed herein are solely those of Growth Stock Analytics, LLC, and not of any other individual or organization.
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